1 |
yea, stdev is totaly irrelevant
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1 |
yea, stdev is totaly irrelevant
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2 |
\n
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2 |
\n
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3 |
if anything, considering that the winning team had on avrage 27 points more ELO stdev then loosing team having a higher stdev is counterintuitavely a beter indicator of who will win then elo diffrance
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3 |
if anything, considering that the winning team had on avrage 27 points more ELO stdev then loosing team having a higher stdev is counterintuitavely a beter indicator of who will win then elo diffrance
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4 |
\n
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4 |
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5 |
afres some copious deleting of games that were 2v2 or less i got down to 1415 games
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5 |
afres some copious deleting of games that were 2v2 or less i got down to 1415 games
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6 |
\n
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6 |
\n
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7 |
winers had:
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7 |
winers had:
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8 |
avg elo of 1651, and stdev of 202
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8 |
avg elo of 1651, and stdev of 202
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9 |
\n
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9 |
\n
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10 |
loosers had
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10 |
loosers had
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11 |
\n
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11 |
\n
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12 |
avg elo of 1628, and stdev of 178
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12 |
avg elo of 1628, and stdev of 178
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13 |
\n
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13 |
\n
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14 |
the diferance between loosers and winners was on avrage:
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14 |
the diferance between loosers and winners was on avrage:
|
15 |
22 ELO with, and 24 stdev (this sugests that larger stdev is better for winning)
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15 |
22 ELO with, and 24 stdev (this sugests that larger stdev is better for winning)
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16 |
\n
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16 |
\n
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17 |
intrestingly enough, of the 525 teams that had less elo then enemy and still won:
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17 |
intrestingly enough, of the 525 teams that had less elo then enemy and still won:
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18 |
1625 avg elo
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18 |
1625 avg elo
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19 |
37 points less on avarage then enemy elo
|
19 |
37 points less on avarage then enemy elo
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20 |
which was 1662 on avarage
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20 |
which was 1662 on avarage
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21 |
\n
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21 |
\n
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22 |
had 201 stdev for the winners, and 186 stdev for the loosers
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22 |
had 201 stdev for the winners, and 186 stdev for the loosers
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23 |
\n
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23 |
\n
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24 |
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24 |
\n
|
25 |
the other games (where winning team had more elo)
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25 |
the other games (where winning team had more elo)
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26 |
had 204 stdev for the winners, and 173 stdev for the loosers
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26 |
had 204 stdev for the winners, and 173 stdev for the loosers
|
27 |
\n
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27 |
\n
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28 |
\n
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29 |
no notable corelation between stdev(win-lose) and ELO(win-lose) to be found
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30 |
\n
|
28 |
make of that what you will, im going to sleep
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31 |
make of that what you will, im going to sleep
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29 |
\n
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32 |
\n
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30 |
\n
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33 |
\n
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31 |
\n
|
34 |
\n
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