| 1 |
[quote]Unfortunately, you cannot resolve the efficacy of such an algorithm simply by betting on historical data, because you cannot rearrange the teams and see what happens.[/quote]
|
1 |
[quote]Unfortunately, you cannot resolve the efficacy of such an algorithm simply by betting on historical data, because you cannot rearrange the teams and see what happens.[/quote]
|
| 2 |
You cannot rearrange the teams, but you can prove that games which springie deems balanced are not actually balanced at all. If every game was truly balanced, it would be impossible to reliably predict the outcomes and make profits on bets.
|
2 |
You cannot rearrange the teams, but you can prove that games which springie deems balanced are not actually balanced at all. If every game was truly balanced, it would be impossible to reliably predict the outcomes and make profits on bets.
|
| 3 |
\n
|
3 |
\n
|
| 4 |
[quote]an algorithm that optimizes both win chance and stdev[/quote]
|
4 |
[quote]an algorithm that optimizes both win chance and stdev[/quote]
|
| 5 |
I
have
already
suggested
a
simple
and
universal
solution
in
case
we
want
that.
(
although
now
i
realise
second
step
should
minimse
stdev
difference
between
teams,
not
average
stdev
(
which
would
remain
constant
regardless
of
how
we
shuffle
the
players)
.
|
5 |
I
have
already
suggested
a
simple
and
universal
solution
in
case
we
want
that.
(
although
now
i
realise
second
step
should
minimse
stdev
difference
between
teams,
not
average
stdev,
which
would
remain
constant
regardless
of
how
we
shuffle
the
players)
.
|
| 6 |
\n
|
6 |
\n
|
| 7 |
[quote]Last but not the least, consider that under current algorithm, if zk would grow 10-fold[/quote]
|
7 |
[quote]Last but not the least, consider that under current algorithm, if zk would grow 10-fold[/quote]
|
| 8 |
If zk grew 10-fold, it would stop being an issue simply because of segregation.
|
8 |
If zk grew 10-fold, it would stop being an issue simply because of segregation.
|
Alternative balance