| 1 |
just did proof on a sample of the 10 11v11 games
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1 |
just did proof on a sample of the 10 11v11 games
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| 2 |
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2 |
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| 3 |
the wining teams:
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3 |
the wining teams:
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| 4 |
of the winning teams 7 had +ve win chance values from my agorithm
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4 |
of the winning teams 7 had +ve win chance values from my agorithm
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| 5 |
mean 18% higher win chance, 25 stdev
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5 |
mean 18% higher win chance, 25 stdev
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| 6 |
34% 5% 35% 12% 46% 56% 4% 4%
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6 |
34% 5% 35% 12% 46% 56% 4% 4%
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| 7 |
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7 |
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| 8 |
2 had -ve and still won
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8 |
2 had -ve and still won
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| 9 |
-13% and -20% chance
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9 |
-13% and -20% chance
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| 10 |
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10 |
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| 11 |
it takes ages to process things on this tiny laptop so i didnt do the whole data set available...
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11 |
it takes ages to process things on this tiny laptop so i didnt do the whole data set available...
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| 12 |
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12 |
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| 13 |
method:
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13 |
method:
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| 14 |
transpose teams into column format
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14 |
transpose teams into column format
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| 15 |
sort the elo of players on teams
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15 |
sort the elo of players on teams
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| 16 |
(team1 slot1)-(team2 slot2)
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16 |
(team1 slot1)-(team2 slot2)
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| 17 |
div by 7 (accurate enough for ELO difrances of less then 200)
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17 |
div by 7 (accurate enough for ELO difrances of less then 200)
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| 18 |
sum of team win chance
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18 |
sum of team win chance
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| 19 |
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19 |
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| 20 |
if positive, team should win
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20 |
if positive, team should win
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Alternative balance